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Red38
98719.5
6419.1
15272.1
Blue30
36818.5
47313.5
103115.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385002060801001203830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
Unranked
19.50.0
19.019.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
368
Unranked
18.50.3
18.818.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
64
Unranked
19.10.0
18.618.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1031
Unranked
15.40.3
15.815.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1527
Unranked
2.10.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
473
Unranked
13.50.3
13.913.6
Auto
Teleop
End