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Red1
3314.1
7431.6
16988.0
Blue2
334-2.7
13401.6
16605.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104020304050607012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1698
Unranked
8.00.7
8.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1660
Unranked
5.60.2
2.82.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
331
Unranked
4.10.7
1.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1340
Unranked
1.60.2
1.41.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
743
Unranked
1.60.7
0.4-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
334
Unranked
-2.70.2
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End