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Red10
35412.3
389.5
5962.0
Blue4
15943.9
7431.6
5229.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3113020406080104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
Unranked
12.31.6
13.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
522
Unranked
9.50.8
10.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
38
Unranked
9.51.6
11.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1594
Unranked
3.90.8
3.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
596
Unranked
2.01.5
3.82.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
743
Unranked
1.60.8
0.8-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End