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Red0
13401.6
5962.0
11552.9
Blue10
7596.7
4211.6
39515.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218020304050010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
Unranked
2.91.0
4.33.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
395
Unranked
15.10.5
9.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
596
Unranked
2.01.0
4.33.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
759
Unranked
6.70.6
4.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1340
Unranked
1.61.0
3.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
421
Unranked
1.60.6
3.22.6
Auto
Teleop
End