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Red20
389.5
3356.0
3330.8
Blue3
3314.1
334-2.7
5229.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141401020304050203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38
Unranked
9.50.4
10.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
522
Unranked
9.50.9
9.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
335
Unranked
6.00.4
2.52.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
331
Unranked
4.10.9
2.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
333
Unranked
0.80.4
2.02.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
334
Unranked
-2.70.9
2.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End