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Red2
140313.3
1205.1
12270.9
Blue86
9319.0
3488.5
80813.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223102030405070286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
Unranked
13.31.2
11.910.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
808
Unranked
13.93.9
7.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
120
Unranked
5.11.7
3.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
931
Unranked
9.05.3
10.716.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1227
Unranked
0.91.7
6.54.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
348
Unranked
8.53.5
4.27.7
Auto
Teleop
End