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Red22
883-1.0
27411.1
3794.1
Blue1
13083.9
3067.9
12270.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1217020304050221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
274
Unranked
11.10.8
8.29.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
306
Unranked
7.90.8
6.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
379
Unranked
4.10.5
4.34.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1308
Unranked
3.91.3
5.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
883
Unranked
-1.00.8
-0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1227
Unranked
0.91.3
4.43.1
Auto
Teleop
End