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Red20
1582.5
27612.4
942.4
Blue23
112613.8
12270.9
13513.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1638060801002023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
276
Unranked
12.40.1
13.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1126
Unranked
13.81.0
15.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
158
Unranked
2.50.1
4.14.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
135
Unranked
13.61.0
16.715.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
94
Unranked
2.40.1
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1227
Unranked
0.91.0
3.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End