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Red31
3794.1
112613.8
80813.9
Blue11
127410.6
1582.5
8927.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3716060801003111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
808
Unranked
13.90.2
14.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1274
Unranked
10.60.6
10.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1126
Unranked
13.80.2
14.914.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
892
Unranked
7.10.6
4.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
379
Unranked
4.10.2
4.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
158
Unranked
2.50.6
4.23.6
Auto
Teleop
End