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Red20
17419.9
112613.8
13083.9
Blue38
27917.9
13173.9
22917.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1324020304050602038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174
Unranked
19.90.5
4.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
279
Unranked
17.91.0
12.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1126
Unranked
13.80.5
6.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
229
Unranked
17.81.3
5.77.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1308
Unranked
3.90.5
2.93.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1317
Unranked
3.91.3
4.15.4
Auto
Teleop
End