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Red57
3028.8
22917.8
3488.5
Blue14
12702.4
12787.5
37816.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33250204060801005714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
Unranked
17.81.8
16.017.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
378
Unranked
16.10.9
14.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
302
Unranked
8.81.2
8.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1278
Unranked
7.50.9
8.37.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
348
Unranked
8.51.2
7.89.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1270
Unranked
2.40.6
3.63.0
Auto
Teleop
End