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Red12
124110.9
12813.6
140412.9
Blue0
6102.1
13103.9
10097.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17140406080100120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1404
Unranked
12.90.4
5.75.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1009
Unranked
7.51.2
3.11.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1241
Unranked
10.90.3
7.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
1310
Unranked
3.91.2
5.13.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1281
Unranked
3.60.4
3.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
610
Unranked
2.11.2
6.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End