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Red52
140412.9
85410.7
13537.6
Blue3
13125.6
77216.4
12462.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15230102030405060523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1404
Unranked
12.93.0
5.38.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
772
Unranked
16.41.0
14.113.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
854
Unranked
10.72.2
6.89.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1312
Unranked
5.61.6
6.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1353
Unranked
7.63.0
3.56.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1246
Unranked
2.31.6
2.10.5
Auto
Teleop
End