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Red5
14828.1
13922.1
7763.9
Blue0
14191.9
14864.6
13465.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016020304050607050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1482
Unranked
8.10.4
3.22.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1346
Unranked
5.81.3
4.73.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
776
Unranked
3.90.4
3.73.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1486
Unranked
4.61.3
7.56.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1392
Unranked
2.10.4
3.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1419
Unranked
1.91.3
2.91.6
Auto
Teleop
End