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Red0
10066.7
1275-0.3
10586.2
Blue15
13347.2
15587.4
11403.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1219030405060015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1006
Unranked
6.70.7
6.35.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1558
Unranked
7.40.2
7.57.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1058
Unranked
6.21.1
5.03.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1334
Unranked
7.20.2
6.56.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1275
Unranked
-0.31.1
2.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1140
Unranked
3.40.2
4.64.4
Auto
Teleop
End