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Qual 382005 Greater Toronto Regional
Red26
124110.9
85410.7
12602.1
Blue3
15702.0
12443.8
13465.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257020406080100263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
Unranked
10.90.2
10.3→10.5
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red by 5.1
1346
Unranked
5.80.5
3.4→2.9
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Second
854
Unranked
10.70.2
9.1→9.3
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red by 6.9
1244
Unranked
3.80.5
3.8→3.3
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Teleop—
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Third
1260
Unranked
2.10.3
3.1→3.4
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Teleop—
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red by 0.1
1570
Unranked
2.00.5
1.8→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—