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Red10
12813.6
15474.2
151113.6
Blue21
16808.6
15587.4
6398.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1625010203040506070801021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
Unranked
13.60.4
11.010.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1680
Unranked
8.60.1
9.79.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1547
Unranked
4.20.6
3.93.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
639
Unranked
8.40.2
6.66.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1281
Unranked
3.60.6
2.31.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1558
Unranked
7.40.1
7.37.2
Auto
Teleop
End