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Red49
111419.4
14828.1
13347.2
Blue0
12602.1
9133.8
13471.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268020406080490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
19.41.3
14.215.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
913
Unranked
3.80.9
3.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1482
Unranked
8.12.1
4.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1260
Unranked
2.10.9
3.42.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1334
Unranked
7.21.3
5.76.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
1347
Unranked
1.50.9
3.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End