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Red5
13103.9
15474.2
1564-0.2
Blue9
10066.7
13922.1
12443.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71202030405059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1547
Unranked
4.20.2
3.33.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1006
Unranked
6.70.1
6.46.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1310
Unranked
3.90.2
3.02.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1244
Unranked
3.80.2
3.33.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1564
Unranked
-0.20.2
1.71.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1392
Unranked
2.10.2
1.91.7
Auto
Teleop
End