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Red0
6398.4
13471.5
12462.3
Blue13
2961.2
13307.7
13922.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18903040506070013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
Unranked
8.41.4
6.75.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1330
Unranked
7.70.3
3.63.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1246
Unranked
2.31.4
3.52.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1392
Unranked
2.10.3
4.24.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1347
Unranked
1.51.4
6.45.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
296
Unranked
1.20.2
2.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End