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Red12
7715.5
7816.4
10586.2
Blue44
151113.6
10495.3
10535.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210304050601244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
Unranked
6.40.0
5.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
1511
Unranked
13.61.2
10.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1058
Unranked
6.20.0
3.03.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1053
Unranked
5.72.0
3.85.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
771
Unranked
5.50.0
2.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1049
Unranked
5.32.0
5.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End