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Red17
12602.1
8201.3
8595.8
Blue30
7833.8
90710.4
151113.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11160203040501730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
859
Unranked
5.80.5
4.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
1511
Unranked
13.60.9
8.59.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1260
Unranked
2.10.5
2.02.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
907
Unranked
10.41.2
2.23.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
820
Unranked
1.30.5
4.44.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
783
Unranked
3.81.2
5.06.2
Auto
Teleop
End