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Red0
15141.1
13537.6
13556.1
Blue20
15474.2
10535.7
13854.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1010051520253035020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1353
Unranked
7.60.9
4.43.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1053
Unranked
5.70.9
3.94.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1355
Unranked
6.10.9
2.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1385
Unranked
4.70.7
2.73.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1514
Unranked
1.11.2
1.12.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1547
Unranked
4.25.3
9.34.0
Auto
Teleop
End