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Quarterfinal 2-22005 Pacific Northwest Regional
Red49
15664.5
10876.8
15104.5
Blue22
14256.5
9565.5
15713.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1515102030404922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1087
Unranked
6.81.0
6.4→7.3
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red by 0.3
1425
Unranked
6.50.2
6.3→6.5
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Second
1510
Unranked
4.51.0
4.1→5.1
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Teleop—
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blue by 0.9
956
Unranked
5.50.2
5.3→5.5
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Third
1566
Unranked
4.51.0
4.1→5.1
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Teleop—
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red by 1.2
1571
Unranked
3.40.2
3.2→3.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—