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Red47
49214.1
159510.5
60411.1
Blue0
15664.5
10876.8
15104.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29160406080100120470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
Unranked
14.10.5
11.412.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1087
Unranked
6.80.5
7.36.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
604
Unranked
11.10.5
8.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
1510
Unranked
4.50.5
5.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1595
Unranked
10.50.5
7.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
1566
Unranked
4.50.5
5.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End