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Red0
29319.1
35818.8
8347.7
Blue37
36517.2
5624.8
31614.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47590204080100120037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
Unranked
19.10.8
20.119.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
56
Unranked
24.80.3
25.224.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
358
Unranked
18.80.8
19.819.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
365
Unranked
17.20.3
17.517.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
834
Unranked
7.70.8
8.88.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
316
Unranked
14.30.4
14.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End