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Red27
121812.7
140213.7
4338.2
Blue31
5719.4
1816.4
3817.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3820060802731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1402
Unranked
13.70.1
14.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
571
Unranked
9.40.2
8.99.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1218
Unranked
12.70.2
13.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
381
Unranked
7.40.2
6.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
433
Unranked
8.20.2
8.68.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
181
Unranked
6.40.2
6.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End