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Red37
22213.3
16476.3
4338.2
Blue25
17710.5
3578.2
7095.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2324010203040503725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
Unranked
13.31.1
9.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
177
Unranked
10.50.1
8.18.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
433
Unranked
8.21.1
6.67.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
357
Unranked
8.20.1
12.312.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1647
Unranked
6.31.1
7.58.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
709
Unranked
5.50.1
3.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End