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Qual 552005 Philadelphia Regional
Red21
7084.2
20411.0
4440.6
Blue28
14954.7
5719.4
5635.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81903040502128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204
Unranked
11.00.6
6.7→7.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.6
571
Unranked
9.40.5
8.2→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
708
Unranked
4.20.9
3.8→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.7
563
Unranked
5.90.8
3.4→4.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
444
Unranked
0.60.9
-1.2→-0.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.1
1495
Unranked
4.70.8
5.9→6.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—