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Qual 612005 Philadelphia Regional
Red21
1816.4
17710.5
4440.6
Blue6
16476.3
6183.7
3047.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131801030405060216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
Unranked
10.50.4
8.3→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
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red by 3.1
304
Unranked
7.40.8
6.1→5.3
Auto—
Teleop—
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Second
181
Unranked
6.40.4
5.7→6.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
1647
Unranked
6.30.8
6.9→6.1
Auto—
Teleop—
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Third
444
Unranked
0.60.5
-0.3→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.2
618
Unranked
3.70.8
4.2→3.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—