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Red90
17710.5
35818.8
140213.7
Blue16
3578.2
29319.1
2255.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323802060809016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
Unranked
18.83.8
13.317.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
293
Unranked
19.11.1
20.419.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1402
Unranked
13.72.9
10.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
357
Unranked
8.21.1
10.39.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
177
Unranked
10.52.9
8.611.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
225
Unranked
5.81.4
6.65.2
Auto
Teleop
End