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Red22
4870.0
36517.2
3047.4
Blue1
31614.3
6183.7
140213.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232301020304050221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
17.20.1
17.317.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
316
Unranked
14.31.8
6.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
304
Unranked
7.40.2
3.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
1402
Unranked
13.71.3
11.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
487
Unranked
0.00.2
3.23.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
618
Unranked
3.71.8
3.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End