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Red58
5719.4
5624.8
140213.7
Blue9
17710.5
8166.6
4338.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4926020406080100120589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
Unranked
24.80.6
24.425.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
177
Unranked
10.51.0
11.510.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1402
Unranked
13.70.6
13.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
433
Unranked
8.21.3
9.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
571
Unranked
9.40.6
8.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
816
Unranked
6.61.2
7.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End