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Red28
4811.6
8088.6
11850.9
Blue16
17082.8
3578.8
6864.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2011030405060702816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
Unranked
11.60.7
7.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
357
Unranked
8.80.3
3.63.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
808
Unranked
8.60.7
6.16.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
686
Unranked
4.10.3
5.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1185
Unranked
0.90.7
5.05.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1708
Unranked
2.80.7
4.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End