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Red14
2918.5
1172.1
3578.8
Blue10
3795.2
10148.6
17074.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017030405060701410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
357
Unranked
8.80.3
3.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1014
Unranked
8.60.5
6.56.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
291
Unranked
8.50.3
7.07.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
379
Unranked
5.20.5
6.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
117
Unranked
2.10.3
0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
1707
Unranked
4.60.5
3.32.8
Auto
Teleop
End