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Red18
86913.2
6864.1
3985.1
Blue12
2041.6
3959.4
2872.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261202030405060701812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
Unranked
13.20.5
13.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
395
Unranked
9.40.1
9.19.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
398
Unranked
5.10.5
5.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
287
Unranked
2.10.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
686
Unranked
4.10.5
4.64.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
204
Unranked
1.60.1
2.92.8
Auto
Teleop
End