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Red69
84519.3
8612.2
15714.2
Blue9
28112.9
8034.4
8076.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36120206080100699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
845
Unranked
19.32.4
17.720.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
281
Unranked
12.90.3
9.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
157
Unranked
14.21.8
10.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
807
Unranked
6.30.5
2.41.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
86
Unranked
12.23.0
5.08.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
803
Unranked
4.40.5
2.82.4
Auto
Teleop
End