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Red12
12878.2
33711.8
28112.9
Blue17
16505.9
3426.0
4175.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26100204060801001217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
Unranked
12.90.7
9.08.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
342
Unranked
6.00.3
6.66.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
337
Unranked
11.80.8
10.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
1650
Unranked
5.90.4
3.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1287
Unranked
8.21.0
3.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
417
Unranked
5.20.4
1.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End