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Red46
18014.0
6657.7
31218.4
Blue25
12878.2
15714.2
4158.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412502060804625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
312
Unranked
18.40.3
16.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
157
Unranked
14.20.1
13.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
180
Unranked
14.00.3
12.713.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1287
Unranked
8.20.1
4.84.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
665
Unranked
7.70.3
9.49.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
415
Unranked
8.10.1
8.48.3
Auto
Teleop
End