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Red6
1111.4
4158.1
10287.0
Blue42
2476.4
15538.9
3019.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2621010304050607080642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
Unranked
11.41.0
10.89.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
301
Unranked
9.51.0
8.89.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
415
Unranked
8.11.0
8.37.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1553
Unranked
8.91.0
7.38.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1028
Unranked
7.01.6
6.34.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
247
Unranked
6.41.0
5.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End