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Red21
3019.5
84519.3
13983.7
Blue39
13198.9
31218.4
4175.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34310102040506070802139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
845
Unranked
19.30.6
19.919.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
312
Unranked
18.40.4
18.318.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
301
Unranked
9.50.6
9.38.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1319
Unranked
8.90.4
8.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1398
Unranked
3.70.6
4.43.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
417
Unranked
5.20.5
4.75.2
Auto
Teleop
End