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Red66
25425.8
98018.4
226.0
Blue3
1159.2
5819.4
1149.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5227020406080100120663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
25.80.3
25.525.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
114
Unranked
9.80.5
10.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
980
Unranked
18.40.3
18.218.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
581
Unranked
9.40.5
9.99.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
22
Unranked
6.00.3
5.76.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
115
Unranked
9.20.5
9.89.3
Auto
Teleop
End