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Red0
135910.0
84615.3
1004.2
Blue31
84014.8
10726.3
6688.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3230020406080100031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
Unranked
15.30.5
16.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
840
Unranked
14.80.0
14.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1359
Unranked
10.00.5
10.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
668
Unranked
8.50.0
8.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
100
Unranked
4.20.5
4.94.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1072
Unranked
6.30.0
6.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End