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Red30
85222.7
8158.7
15166.1
Blue39
84014.8
9726.9
98018.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13190103040503039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
Unranked
22.71.4
7.28.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
980
Unranked
18.41.7
8.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
815
Unranked
8.71.2
3.44.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
840
Unranked
14.81.7
5.57.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1516
Unranked
6.11.6
6.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
972
Unranked
6.91.7
4.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End