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Red11
2533.0
10978.4
17001.5
Blue1
5683.3
6704.9
7512.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions912051520253035111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1097
Unranked
8.40.1
3.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
670
Unranked
4.90.9
5.24.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
253
Unranked
3.00.1
2.93.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
568
Unranked
3.30.9
2.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1700
Unranked
1.50.6
2.63.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
751
Unranked
2.90.9
4.13.2
Auto
Teleop
End