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Red58
98018.4
1149.8
14589.0
Blue12
6688.5
5819.4
3687.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232701040506070805812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
Unranked
18.42.7
11.614.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
581
Unranked
9.41.1
7.46.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
114
Unranked
9.82.7
6.59.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
668
Unranked
8.51.1
4.53.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1458
Unranked
9.02.7
7.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
368
Unranked
7.11.1
13.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End