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Red4
6704.9
1159.2
2564.2
Blue28
84014.8
5683.3
9715.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11230406080428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
Unranked
9.20.7
4.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
840
Unranked
14.80.5
14.715.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
670
Unranked
4.90.7
4.33.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
971
Unranked
5.30.5
5.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
256
Unranked
4.20.7
3.83.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
568
Unranked
3.30.5
1.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End