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Red6
8158.7
1693-0.9
1149.8
Blue21
1159.2
15166.1
6756.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1718010304050621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
Unranked
9.81.0
13.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
115
Unranked
9.20.3
3.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
815
Unranked
8.70.6
3.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1516
Unranked
6.10.3
9.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1693
Unranked
-0.91.0
1.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
675
Unranked
6.10.3
4.54.8
Auto
Teleop
End