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Red37
98018.4
5683.3
9726.9
Blue2
3687.1
6914.6
2564.2
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33220406080100372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
Unranked
18.40.5
19.019.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
368
Unranked
7.11.8
10.08.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
972
Unranked
6.90.5
10.210.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
691
Unranked
4.61.8
9.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
568
Unranked
3.30.5
2.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
256
Unranked
4.21.8
4.32.5
Auto
Teleop
End