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Red27
10726.3
15166.1
5683.3
Blue8
6688.5
1159.2
226.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1129020406080100278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
Unranked
6.30.7
5.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
115
Unranked
9.21.1
10.89.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1516
Unranked
6.10.7
5.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
668
Unranked
8.51.1
9.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
568
Unranked
3.30.7
2.63.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
22
Unranked
6.01.1
6.85.7
Auto
Teleop
End